Showing posts with label MRT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MRT. Show all posts

Saturday, January 26

Land Transport Review Part 2: Public transport (rail)

The Land Transport Review Part 2 which touches on rail expansion plan for the next 10 to 15 years was announced.

The major changes are the announcement of two new rail lines, extension of existing rail lines, improvements to current rail carrying capacity to ease passenger loading, acceleration of rail expansion plan, and changes to rail financing and industry framework. The rest of the changes touch on softer aspects of meeting the diverse travel needs of people. The speech is summarised in the table below (click on image for clearer text). To be able to comprehend the table, please make reference to the full Minister's speech appended below (also available here).

Click here for bigger image

In my personal opinion, I welcome the Eastern Region Line (ERL). This new line expands the rail coverage to more areas such Marine Parade and Upper East Coast. The other line, Thomson Line (TSL), is a black horse in the rail expansion plan. Virtually unheard of (though there are glimpses of it in LTA's 1996 white paper), TSL suddenly jumped onto the rail network scene, and will be completed even earlier than ERL (any reasons?). Starting from Woodlands, TSL runs through Upper Thomson corridor, serving Sin Ming and Ang Mo Kio neighbourhoods' fringe areas, before going down to city area, passing through Great World City (speculation), then joins back the Central Business District before ending in Marina Bay. Looking at its coverage, TSL does not cover much new residential catchments compared to ERL, and I foresee that it will be one of the less profitable lines among all the announced lines. The only possible reason why it was given the green light is that it will help to relieve the train load of North-South Line, which has left passengers gasping for air in the ever packed morning trains. On the 14-km westward extension to Tuas, I only have one comment: would a light-rail system serve the Tuas industrial areas more cost-efficiently?

The Minister also mentions that additional train trips will be added during the morning and evening peak periods and this will result in more comfortable ride for passengers. I see this as a long overdue enhancement to the rail lines, as SMRT train frequencies has not been keeping pace with their exponential passenger growth (read it here, note: link to external site). One interesting point mentioned is that the carrying capacity of North-South and East-West Line will be expanded by 15%, in 4 years time. What I interpret from the announcement is that the carrying capacity of North-South Line is already at its maximum due to a limitation in their design system (as the Minister has put it, "infrastructure constraint"). Changing that part of the system is a heavy investment. I believe if not for the unfortunate Nicoll Highway incident, the Circle Line would have been opened much earlier and would help to relieve passenger load at the North-South Line without the heavy investment in addressing infrastructure constraint.

On the part of shorter wait for rail lines, it is true that Downtown Line Stage 3 will be brought forward by 2 years (for your info, DTL3 runs from Chinatown and passes through Jalan Besar, Macpherson, Kaki Bukit, Bedok Reservoir, Tampines and ending in Expo). However, it is not true for the Government to say that "we will bring forward the Circle Line which was due to open from 2010 onwards". The fact is, the entire Circle Line was due to open by 2010, with the first stage due to open from 2006. What a word of difference it makes! The Nicoll Highway incident delayed the Stage 1 opening, which pushed back the completion date of the entire line from 2010 to 2011 or possible 2012 as announced by the Minister. What irks me is, in every response to questions on Circle Line opening schedule, there is always a constant emphasis that Circle Line opening is on track and is not delayed by the Nicoll Highway incident. Clearly not so.

Moving on, perhaps the most important announcement in Land Transport Review Part 2 is the part on rail financing and industry framework. Again, the Minister provided scant details on such important and ground-breaking changes as they are still in labour process. However, one thing that we are sure is that the current two rail operators arrangement will be maintained (period), and having such arrangement "enables the regulator to benchmark the operators against each other in terms of service standards and cost efficiency". I do hope that this is not the reason why there is a need to maintain more than one rail operator, as there already exists international benchmarking groups comprising rail operators in cities around the world which offers far more comprehensive and meaningful comparison.

Although it is my personal opinion that having one rail operator would make it easier for the Government to award operating rights for new rail lines (I will explain how this is so later), but the announcement on greater contestability in rail industry suggests that there could be new operators in the future, possible overseas operators, when the current operating licences of the rail operators expire in 20 - 30 years time. This will be achieved by shortening the license period from the current 30 years to 10-15 years.

However, I cannot reconcile this fact with the refinement of rail financing framework. I agree with the Minister that to support the expansion of rail network, the financing framework should move from evaluating new lines on a line approach (i.e. financial viability of the proposed new line) to evaluating new lines on a network approach (i.e. how will the proposed new line affect the financial viability of the entire rail network). However, with escalating construction costs and limited incremental passenger patronage due to overlapping catchment areas, the financial viability of new rail lines will not be great, if not impossible at all. As such, to support the proposed new rail financing framework, it is logical to have only one rail operator so that the operator can subsidise the not so financially-viable new lines with the more profitable lines. Or put it simply, having one rail operator will ensure that in the event new lines are not profitable on a line basis, the operator will have the exclusivity to lose money when they are forced to operate new lines under expanding rail network.

The rest of the review is a mixture of plans to meet the diverse needs of passengers (such as having more lifts and barrier-free access for elderly and wheel-chair passengers, allowing foldable bicycle for cyclists), to improve taxi services, and to regulate emission standards to protect the environment. I do not have much comments on those, so you may wish to read up on the details in the speech's paragraph 35 onwards.

As a final note, for those who hoped for some clarify in the role of LTA/PTC, the latest announcement provided one: fares will still be regulated by Public Transport Council subjected to fare cap formula (ref paragraph 39).

Related articles:

SPEECH BY MR RAYMOND LIM, MINISTER FOR TRANSPORT AND SECOND MINISTER FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS, AT THE VISIT TO KIM CHUAN DEPOT,
FRIDAY, 25 JANUARY 2008, 9.00AM

DOUBLING OUR RAIL NETWORK

1 It is my pleasure to join you here this morning at the Kim Chuan Depot.

2 Last week, you heard about our major initiatives to improve bus services. Today, I will share with you the exciting plans that we have for the rail network, and how we will meet the transport needs of diverse groups of people.

3 Let me start by telling you what commuters can look forward to in the future.

4 By 2020, people who live or work in the city and those who shop and find enjoyment there will be able to reach an MRT station within 400m on average, a mere 5-minute walk. Travelling across the city will be a breeze, because we will have a dense network of MRT stations like what we see in London and New York today.

5 Outside the city, many more areas that are not served by the MRT now, such as Sin Ming, Marine Parade and Tuas will get high speed access to the city.

6 Commuters will also enjoy a more comfortable ride and a shorter wait during peak periods on the existing lines, as additional train trips will be added to increase capacity.

7 I will touch on the new rail lines first.

New Rail Lines to be Built

Thomson Line and Eastern Region Line

8 From the heart of Marina Bay, a new MRT line, the Thomson Line, will travelnorthwards, through the Central Business District and up through Ang Mo Kio all the way to Woodlands connecting estates such as Sin Ming, Kebun Baru, Thomson and Kim Seng which do not now have a direct MRT link.From Marina Bay, this line would connect with another new MRT line, the Eastern Region Line, which will serve the residential estates of Tanjong Rhu, Marine Parade, Siglap, Bedok South and Upper East Coast, and link them to Changi in the east.The Thomson Line or TSL and the Eastern Region Line or ERL together will add 48km to our rail network.The Government has given the go-ahead for the TSL to be built by 2018, and the ERL by 2020.

9 The TSL and ERL will shorten journey times and significantly enhance the connectivity of the rail network. Commuters staying in Sin Ming can save 20 minutes out of their current 45-minute journey to the city, whereas a trip from Marine Parade to Marina Bay on the ERL would take about 20 minutes, almost as fast as travelling by car.

New extensions to North-South and East-West Lines

10 We will also add extensions to the North-South and East-West Lines, which should be completed around 2015.

11 The North-South Line now ends at the Marina Bay station in the south. We will extend the line 1-km southwards to serve upcoming developments in the southern Marina Bay area, such as the new cruise terminal in Marina South.

12 The East-West Line will be extended by another 14km into Tuas.Today, a commuter who lives in Clementi and takes the MRT to work in Tuas has to alight at Boon Lay station and then take a 35-minute bus ride to get to his workplace.With the new Tuas Extension that brings the East-West line right into the heart of Tuas, more of the journey will be on the high speed MRT, reducing his journey time by 20 minutes.

Doubling of rail network by 2020

13 These new rail lines will cost us some $20 billion to build, over and above the $20 billion that government has already committed for the on-going Boon Lay Extension (BLE), the Circle Line (CCL) and the Downtown Line (DTL).The government has decided that all these rail projects are a necessary investment to ensure that our transport infrastructure meets the needs of a growing population and an expanding economy.

14 Together with the rail lines now under construction, the new rail lines will double our network from today’s 138km to 278km in 2020. We expect our rail network to carry 3 times as many journeys, rising from today’s 1.4 million a day to 4.6 million in 2020.

15 Many more people will be served by the MRT, and they will be able to use it to get to many more places.The density of our rail network will increase by 60%, from 31 to 51 km per million population by 2020, comparable to cities like New York and London, and surpassing Hong Kong and Tokyo.

A More Comfortable Ride on Existing Lines

16 Let me turn to the existing rail lines. Train ridership is increasing steadily and commuters have said that they are feeling the squeeze, especially on the North-South and East-West lines.Now, we are far from the crowded conditions of Tokyo trains, which Mr Norman Chong, a Singaporean who has lived in Tokyo for 10 years, describes as being “so packed that bodies are crushed against one another.”He calls it his “regular morning massage”.Other MRT users have likened the average peak period loading on our trains to an off-peak crowd in Shanghai.

17 However, we are not about to let conditions deteriorate and commuters need not worry about getting morning massages any time soon.LTA closely monitors the passenger loading on our trains. To ensure a more comfortable ride for commuters, LTA has worked with the train operators to run 93 additional train trips per week during the morning and evening periods from February 2008 on the North-South East-West and the North-East lines. For commuters, this will mean less crowded trains and a reduction in waiting time by about 10-15% during peak hours.

18 Beyond that, we will also expand the carrying capacity of the North-South and East-West Lines.We will be working with SMRT to purchase more trains and address infrastructure constraints so that peak hour train frequencies can be increased. When completed in about 4 years’ time, carrying capacity will be increased by a further 15%, and commuters can look forward to shorter peak waiting times of 2 minutes, compared to the current 2.5 to 4.5 minutes at stretches that experience heavy loading, and an even more comfortable ride.

A Shorter Wait for the DTL and CCL

19 Many people are counting down to the day they can use the Circle Line (CCL). Others have asked whether we can speed up the building of the Downtown Line (DTL). We have taken to heart such feedback and worked hard with the Ministry of Finance and other partners such as URA, to see how we can bring forward the opening of these lines, to make public transport a choice mode.

DTL 3 to be brought forward by 2 years

20 To benefit residents of Bedok Reservoir and Tampines, we will bring forward the completion of DTL 3 by 2 years, from 2018 to 2016.The completion date of DTL 3 will now be just one year after that of DTL Stage 2 serving the Bukit Timah corridor. As we speed up the development of the DTL, LTA will continue to maintain stringent safety and quality standards in construction.

Earlier opening of Circle Line in 2009

21 Likewise, we will bring forward the Circle Line which was due to open from 2010 onwards. We will now open Circle Line Stage 3 in mid-2009 to benefit residents in the north and north-east.This CCL segment connects Bishan station on the North-South Line and Serangoon station on NEL and opens up multiple new connections for residents in the north and north-east. With the CCL 3, Serangoon residents will take only 25 minutes to get to Yishun by transferring to the North-South line at Bishan station, compared to 45 minutes by bus or by taking the NEL all the way to Dhoby Ghaut before transferring to the North-South line.As for residents staying in Marymount, Lorong Chuan and Bartley, they will enjoy more seamless and direct travel to the city and other parts once CCL 3 commences operation.

More Circle Line stations will be opened

22 Other than bringing forward CCL 3, we will also open more stations on the Circle Line. This will enhance the reach and connectivity of the Circle Line, and allow many more people to benefit from the MRT. We had earlier decided to build the Thomson and West Coast stations as shell stations and fit them out only when there are sufficient developments around them. As the pace of development around these stations is picking up, LTA will now fit out these stations and open them together with the other CCL stations. To enhance the accessibility of the Marina Bay area to the rest of the island, LTA will also build and open the Marina Bay station as part of the CCL extension beyond Bayfront station in 2012.

23 With all these developments that I have highlighted, commuters can look forward to new extensions or stages of new lines opening almost every other year until 2020.

Platform Screen Doors for Above-ground Stations

24 The safety of our rail commuters is key. The incidence of people entering the train track area of above-ground MRT stations has risen from an average of 16 cases a year to 30 in 2006 and 31 in 2007. Besides endangering lives, such incidents disrupt train services and inconvenience many commuters, especially during peak hours.

25 To enhance safety and reduce the incidence of track intrusions, LTA has been studying the feasibility of installing platform screen doors on above-ground MRT stations. With platform screen doors being adopted in more transit systems worldwide, their cost has fallen, making them more cost-effective now.

26 We will therefore install platform screen doors at all above-ground MRT stations, so that commuters can have safer and more reliable train services.LTA will carry out a pilot at Yishun, Jurong East and Pasir Ris stations in 2009 to ensure that operational considerations are met, before rolling this out to all stations by 2012.

Rail Financing and Industry Frameworks to be Strengthened

27 Besides the slew of initiatives I have described - extending the rail network, opening MRT lines earlier and giving commuters more comfortable and safer rides - we will also strengthen the financing framework to facilitate rail expansion.At the same time, we will introduce greater contestability in the rail industry to ensure efficient rail operations and keep costs competitive.

Review financing framework to support rail expansion

28 From now till 2020 and beyond, we are rolling out ambitious rail expansion plans to meet the travel needs of a growing population.

29 As we expand the rail network, future lines will be more expensive to build, operate and maintain as they will be mostly underground. New lines will also need time to build up their ridership, compared to mature lines which serve the more densely built-up corridors. Hence, to keep up the pace of rail expansion, MOT will work with the Ministry of Finance to refine the financing framework. The framework should allow for a network approach, instead of a line approach, to be adopted in evaluating new lines. This would potentially enable future new lines to be implemented a few years earlier than otherwise, so long as the entire rail network remains viable.

Greater contestability in the rail industry

30 We will also strengthen the rail industry framework to enhance efficiency and maintain cost competitiveness.

31 We currently have two rail operators. This enables the regulator to benchmark the operators against each other in terms of service standards and cost efficiency.

32 There have been suggestions to merge the separate rail operations to reap greater economies of scale.Others see value in retaining the existing structure, as competition between the operators helps improve efficiency and service standards.

33 Following an extensive study, LTA’s assessment is that the key issue here is not so much whether there are one or two operators but that the threat of competition must be real to the incumbents. Further, competition must not compromise the integration of the network as the seamless working of the whole network is what gives value to the commuter.

34 Going forward, we will make the rail industry more contestable, to drive efficiency and enhance service standards for commuters. A key step in enhancing contestability is to have shorter operating licences, say 10 to 15 years, compared to the existing 30-year licence periods. Operators will compete for the right to operate rail services. They will have to meet service obligations or risk being replaced at the end of their term. LTA will study the implementation issues carefully with relevant stakeholders.


Meeting Diverse Needs

Ensuring Accessibility for All

35 As we enhance the rail network, we will ensure that our MRT system and the wider transport network are accessible to all, including elderly commuters, families with young children, people with disabilities and those who are less well-off. This is part of our broader commitment to meet the needs of diverse groups within our people-centred land transport system.


Pedestrians

36 Pedestrians can look forward to a more comfortable walking environment, as we build more covered linkways and pedestrian overhead bridges, and make it more convenient to get to bus stops and MRT stations.86% of pedestrian overhead bridges will be covered by 2010. Walkways and commuter facilities will also be made accessible to all, including the less mobile. By 2010, LTA will have completed its $60 million islandwide programme to make pedestrian walkways, access to MRT stations, taxi and bus shelters, and all public roads barrier-free.

Elderly and Less Mobile Commuters

37 The introduction of low-floor, wheel-chair accessible buses has also been welcomed by elderly commuters and wheel-chair users.By 2010, 40% of our buses will be wheelchair accessible, and we intend that by 2020, the entire fleet will be so.

38 More will also be done for MRT users.All MRT stations have already been provided with at least one barrier-free entrance inclusive of a lift.However, the elderly or less mobile commuters sometimes have to make long detours to get to that one entrance with the lift, which defeats the purpose. We will therefore provide 17 additional lifts for 16 MRT stations at the cost of $70 million. Currently, these 16 stations have entrances that are either far apart or are separated by major roads. Putting in a lift at another entrance will benefit, among others, the elderly residents at the Boon Keng housing estate, enabling them to get into the MRT station more easily. So too the people who alight from Boon Keng station to go to the Kwong Wai Shiu Hospital.By end 2011, more than 70% of our MRT stations will have at least two barrier-free access routes.

Helping Poorer Singaporeans Access Public Transport

39 Another group that we pay close attention to are the less well-off Singaporeans. While fares have to reflect the cost of operations, we will see to it that public transport remains accessible to the poorer Singaporeans. Fares will continue to be regulated by the Public Transport Council by a fare cap formula, so public transport operators cannot charge whatever they think the market can bear.This will help keep public transport fares affordable for the general public. As for lower-income families who need more help with their public transport costs, the government is committed to providing targeted help through schemes such as Workfare. Help from the community is also available, such as through the transport vouchers provided by the public transport operators and government.

Improving Taxi Services

40 While we enhance public transport and ensure that all have access to it, we will also facilitate a wide range of transport choices, including taxis and cycling.

41 Taxis offer commuters high-end door-to-door service like cars. The taxi industry is liberalized and taxi supply and fares are determined by the market. LTA sets the Quality of Service standards to protect commuters’ interests.

42 To further enhance taxi services, LTA will tighten the call booking Quality of Service standards to ensure that taxis are available when commuters call for one.

43 LTA will also set up a common call booking telephone number for taxis by July 2008, to complement the taxi companies’ call booking systems. This will make it more convenient for the public, especially the tourists, to call for a taxi as they will only need to remember one telephone number, instead of the different telephone numbers of each taxi company today.

Facilitating Cyclists

44 Cyclists are another group that we will facilitate. There is a growing interest in cycling, with more people cycling for recreation, or to get around the neighbourhood.

45 We invited some of them to our land transport review focus group discussions to see how we could better cater to their needs.Some cyclists asked for more bicycle stands around our bus and MRT stations. Others made the point that some foldable bicycles were not much bigger than prams, so why not allow them onboard our trains and buses?

46 Responding to this, LTA together with the public transport operators will launch a six-month trial from March 2008 to allow cyclists to carry their foldable bicycles on board trains and buses.LTA will also work with NParks and other agencies to leverage on the park connectors to enable cyclists to get to public transport interchanges more easily. Bicycle parking facilities at the MRT stations and bus interchanges in housing estates will be improved.

47 The cyclists also shared their ‘war stories’ and asked us to help improve safety on our roads. Following a pilot in Changi, LTA will put up signs to alert motorists to the presence of cyclists along frequently used cycling routes such as those in West Coast and Thomson from March 08. LTA and the Traffic Police have also started a trial to allow cycling on pedestrian footways in Tampines.

48 But at the end of the day, it is also an issue of mutual accommodation – for the motorists to look out for cyclists on the road; and for cyclists to have a care for pedestrians.

Protecting the Environment

49 Greater use of our MRT and buses as well as non-motorised transport like cycling will help reduce greenhouse gases and protect the environment.Land transport has a critical role in whether a city is liveable or choking on its own exhaust.Our transport policies as a whole serve to ensure a high quality living environment for all Singaporeans.

50 LTA will work with the transport operators to further improve the emission standards of their fleets. By 2014, all our taxis will comply with Euro IV emission levels. By 2010, about 40% of public buses will have achieved this emission target, with 100% by 2020. Through schemes like the Green Vehicle Rebate, LTA will also work with other agencies to promote more energy efficient vehicles as well as the use of cleaner fuels such as CNG (Compressed Natural Gas).


Conclusion

51 By 2020, we will have an integrated, efficient and user-friendly public transport system that enables every Singaporean, including those with special needs, to take part in the life of the city.With a vastly expanded rail network and a bus network that works in partnership with rail, commuters will have fast and reliable connections that bring them where they want to go. A gamut of transport choices including premium buses, taxis and cycling among others, will enable different needs to be met. As society evolves and people’s needs change, our land transport offerings must keep pace as well as encompass the diversity of needs and aspirations. To achieve this, we will plan our land transport system around people, not the other way round.This then will be our touchstone in the planning of land transport policies going forward.

Source: Ministry of Transport, 25 January 2008

Tuesday, October 30

New MRT map


Spotted any difference?

  • Red North-South Line gets a little bend
  • Sembawang finally updated with a "Bus Interchange Station" logo
  • Downtown Line Phase 1 is drawn (in dark brown)
  • And, Farmway LRT is opening soon. :)
[Post note: For information on new rail lines as announced in Land Transport Review Part 2, please refer to here.]

Tuesday, September 11

More expensive to travel by bus than train

Come October 2007, public transport fares are going up again. To be exact, only bus fares will see an increase while train fares will be unchanged.

In announcing the latest fare hike, Public Transport Council defended its decision to approve this year's fare revision: both wages and transport fare affordability improved, and the profit of operators are not excessive, so there are no "extenuating circumstances" not to grant the full 1.8% allowed this year to buses. The same fate cannot be said of train: their profit indicator is showing that they are performing too well last year to deserve a fair revaluation of their fares.

As such, the decision to raise only bus fares but not train fares created an interesting phenomenon. Train systems are known to be expensive to operate, which is why it goes without dispute that train fares are higher, if not comparable, to bus fares in almost all cities in the world. The latest revision bucked this trend. In fact, we might have created a world first in land transport industry by allowing bus fares to be more expensive in close to half of the approved fare band.

Responding to PTC's announcement, SMRT rightly pointed out this:

“The latest increase in bus fares will cause SMRT train fares to be cheaper than bus fares in five out of the eight fare bands.”, said Mr Yeo Meng Hin, Deputy President & Chief Operating Officer, SMRT Corporation Ltd

To illustrate this awkward trend, please refer to the graph I've drawn up below (you may wish to click on it to see an enlarged version).


Note that the fares quoted above is for Adult ez-link fare, and the band is following train fare band which has finer graduation of 16 bands compared to bus fare band which has only 8. As you can see, bus fares are more expensive than trains for travel up to band 7, which is the equivalent of about 12km travel. If you're travelling from the city, it is roughly equivalent to travelling from city area to either Buona Vista (west), Paya Lebar(east) or Bishan (north).

Come 2007, do think twice about hopping on a bus for short trips. If you're travelling a distance less than about 12km, it is cheaper to travel by train than bus. You could potentially save up to 11 cents per trip!

For more information, please refer to the following press releases:

Friday, April 6

Welcome aboard SMRT

Lately I've been thinking of going on a getaway to anywhere that's accessible by flight. I missed the Changi experience (which strangely was pipped by KLIA in airport ranking lately), the experience of flying at a mile above ground, and also the pilot greeting which usually goes like this:

"A very good afternoon to you ladies and gentlemen. From the flightdeck, this is your captain speaking. I would like to welcome you onboard this flight SQ2 to Hong Kong. Our flight time this afternoon is about 3 hours and 20 minutes. [...] On behalf of the crew onboard this aircraft, we wish you a pleasant flight."

My wish came sooner than expected.

Today while I transferring at Jurong East MRT station, I heard the following announcement while I was seated in the train waiting for it to depart:

"Good afternoon passengers. Welcome aboard SMRT. We hope you have an enjoyable journey with us. Thank you."

I was pleasantly surprised by the friendly greeting made by the train officer (i.e. the person driving the train). It sure perked up the otherwise boring train ride. Since when did SMRT upgrade their train officers to train pilots? [Post note: I read in a forum that another person heard a similar announcement on 9 Apr which goes like this: "Good evening passengers, the train is about to leave towards Marina Bay shortly. On behalf of my colleagues, I wish you a safe and pleasant ride on SMRT. Thank you."]

Some digression. As it is not a pre-recorded announcement, I am sure this is an isolated incident of an overenthusiastic train officer trying to go the extra mile in customer service -- which is perfectly fine as the message is pleasant. However, imagine how the same train officer would react if the pre-recorded message could not be played due to technical error? I cannot fathom how he will replace the "Doors closing... dooo....dooo....doooo..........". (By the way, do let me know how many "doos" are there if you manage to count.)

Upon alighting at my terminal station, I noticed that gone are the lines and lines of advertising messages promoting their failed Dhoby Xchange and SMRT Link shuttle. Instead, the junk messages are replaced by a simple static statement of "Welcome to Woodlands station".

Without having to pay attention to the junk messages, travelling by MRT is a better experience. It would be better if they also stop playing the free shuttle bus announcement during weekdays (because it's not operating!). And to SBS Transit, please give us back the quiet environment by muting the TV Mobile. That's all I ask of you...

Friday, March 23

Three months of cheaper bus and train fares

If there is any transport fare increase this year, take heart that the increase amount will be capped at 1.8%, lower than the 2% increase for GST. The cap is calculated for using a formula that accounts for inflation, wage increase and productivity of operators.

In addition, you may wish to thank PTC for deferring the fare adjustment exercise by three months. Traditionally, any fare increases is effected in July. However, PTC deferred the process by three months last year as it was an exceptional year, and has since decided to reward the passengers with three months freeze on current fare.

It will be even better if they do not approve the fare application by the two operators.

1.8% cap on any bus, train fare hike this year
Christopher Tan, Senior Correspondent

ANY decision this year on raising bus and train fares will be known only in August at the earliest, instead of the usual May announcement in previous years.

And if the Public Transport Council (PTC) approves an increase, fares will go up by 1.8 per cent at the most, a spokesman for the council told The Straits Times.

For most commuters, this could mean an increase similar to last year's one- to three-cent hike, when the cap on fare increase was set at 1.7 per cent.

The new deadline and the cap on how high fares can go are the result of a change in the formula adopted by the PTC last year to work out bus and train fare increases.

Traditionally, SBS Transit and SMRT submit their applications by May 1, and revisions take effect in July.

But last year, because the PTC was busy adapting to new regulatory powers, the fare adjustment exercise was delayed by three months.

It has decided to stick with the new deadline.

'Operators will have till August to apply. Henceforth, all adjustments will be from October,' the PTC spokesman added.

As for the 1.8 per cent cap this year, it is based on a formula that takes into account current economic conditions, average wage increases as well as productivity gains of the public transport companies. It also allows fares to be lowered when the economy is in deep recession.

Both operators declined to say if they will ask for a fare increase, but it remains to be seen whether the planned two-percentage-point rise in goods and services tax (GST) in July will influence the decision.

A two-point rise in GST to 7 per cent translates to about $22 million in additional cost to the two operators.

Singapore introduced GST in 1994, starting with a 3 per cent levy. It was raised to 4 per cent in 2003, and 5 per cent in 2004.

Although GST was never passed on directly to public transport commuters, it is computed indirectly in the fare adjustment formula, which takes inflation - represented by the Consumer Price Index - into consideration.

SMRT spokesman Goh Chee Kong said: 'The fare adjustment formula takes care of wage increases, Consumer Price Index and productivity. So any increase in GST will be accounted for in the Consumer Price Index.''

In the past two years, the operators cited higher oil prices as the main justification for a fare rise.

A senior transport analyst said GST had never been fully passed on to commuters, but added that 'the formula will prevail because we are not in a deflationary economy'.

Source: The Straits Times, 23 March 2007

Monday, March 19

Trains and the quality of life

I would like to comment on a published article bearing the same title as this post (attached below).

Trains and the quality of life

SIX and a half million people. That's where the population is headed. As Singaporeans digest news of a new MRT line, they should bear in mind that number. For housing more people is relatively easy. More difficult is ensuring that a larger population gets to work, school, the market and leisure sites just as easily as people today.

But even that isn't good enough. Singapore's planners have never sought only to keep pace, but to radically improve the quality of life. So the aim must be for 6.5 million people to traverse the city in a faster, more efficient way than the current 4.5 million. That brings the discussion back to the MRT: From our perspective, a steady expansion of the system is key to keeping Singapore moving. Certainly there will be increased costs, but there will also be collateral benefits. It's just the way to go.

Building train lines in urban areas isn't cheap. This must be conceded. The just-announced 3.4km downtown loop alone will cost an estimated $1.4 billion. And eventually, the line will stretch 40km - so just imagine. Because new lines are built by the Government, the expense will come out of taxes. This will cause some to gripe. New lines are also unlikely to be as well used as existing ones which go to the most populated areas, and so their financial viability might be an issue. But looking at the dollar price alone isn't helpful. MRT lines greatly increase property values along their routes, especially for housing near stations. As for commercial developments, there is nothing like being near a station or along an MRT route to generate increased traffic and hence business. These are tangible economic benefits that ought to be factored into the equation. But the most compelling reason is really one of necessity. The road network may simply be unable to cope with the increased number of cars owned by a 6.5 million population unless even stricter ownership quotas are imposed. But this will be acceptable to the general population only if public transport, which means an efficient and expanded MRT network, meets their increasingly high expectations.

Urban planning isn't only about housing. It also involves giving people the means to move about easily. And the larger a population gets, the more the equation between private and public transport becomes weighted towards the latter. While there are costs here, the benefits overshadow them. Quality of life can't be priced in dollars and cents. So look at the Circle Line, the Downtown Line and any other extension to come to the MRT system as milestones in better living.

Source: The Straits Times, 16 March 2007

The report on the new MRT line is stale news. The five-station Downtown Line Phase 1, originally known as Downtown Extension, was already announced by LTA about two years ago. It has simply just undergone a name transformation – just like the Marine Line that was renamed to Circle Line Stage 1.

The article seems to be conceived to pacify those who could be opposing more rail lines as they do not see the need of expensive rail lines, especially after the North-East Line experience.

As much as I like to concur with the author that having more rail lines will improve quality of life, I would like to pose some questions in response to the otherwise simplistic argument put forth.

Question 1:
Given that “financial viability of the new lines might be an issue”, would the Government be able to invite operators to operate the new lines?

Both local operators, SMRT and SBS Transit, are public-listed companies. If the revenue of a new line is unable to cover operating costs, it is unlikely that the operators are willing to run the new lines at a loss unless compensated duly. If that is the case, is the Government prepared to “subsidise” their operations?

I could think of a number of ways that the Government can overcome this. One is to convince the operators' management to accept lower profit margin. This may be achieved by trying to get them to look at the overall profit margin of all the lines that they are rather than looking at the profitability of a single line. However, this might not be feasible as the public-listed operators will find it difficult to answer to their shareholders. Another possible move is to allow the operators to recoup any losses by allowing them to have greater non-fare revenue. Such could be in the form of more aggressive marketing initiatives in train stations, or more commercial spaces for rent.


Question 2:
The expanding rail network will reduce the distance travelled, especially for the upcoming Circle Line. Since our current train fare is distance-based (the longer you travel, the more you pay), having more rail lines will most likely reduce the fare because of the corresponding reduction in distance travelled. Is it fair to the operators that while they incur more costs to run the new lines and offer better service in terms of reduced journey time to the public, they are getting lesser revenue due to distant-based fare structure?

Since the author has called for more rail lines because it improves “quality of life”, are passengers also willing to accept a similar argument for fares: that a portion of the fare can be pegged to “quality of ride” based on the amount of time savings they experience with the new lines? Not to forget that our train fair is one of the most affordable in the world!


Question 3:
Are we prepared for more bus rationalisation?

The new rail lines will not be sustainable without extensive bus rationalisation to remove duplicating bus routes. However, recent public sentiments have shown that there are a number who prefer the convenience of having direct door-step bus services over the need to make bus/MRT transfer trips. This is especially true for the Woodlands and North-Eastern residents who have experienced the MRT extension to Woodlands and the new North-East Line.

However, extending the rail network without rationalising the bus services will result in less than ideal utilisation of the huge investments poured into constructing the new MRT lines. I do understand that the Ministry is trying to give more choices to the people, but is it at the expense of building an expensive system that might not fully reaped its benefits? While the focus is providing a customer-centric travel experience, let us not forget the big picture amidst the myriad dissenting views.


Question 4:
Is MRT the only option to meet the transportation needs of Singaporeans?

How about other modes of transport, such as the Bus Rapid Transit system that could meet the transportation needs at much lower cost?

As the article has pointed out, the cost of MRT extension comes from taxpayers’ money. As such, it would be dangerous to expand the rail network using the “quality of life” argument without having the cost-benefit analysis done proper. In any case, the argument of “having more rail lines is a necessity” seems déjà vu. Remember the great MRT rebate back in 1970s, on whether there is a need to built MRT line at all because of the huge financial cost?

Given the huge amount of taxpayers’ money (Christopher Tan from Straits Times estimated that Downtown Line would cost $10 billion), I would urge the relevant authorities to be more transparent in answering these questions.

You are welcome to post any comments and share any views that you may have.

As an ending, here are some relevant news releases on Downtown Line (aka the former Downtown Extension):
14 Jun 2005: Expanding the rail network with Downtown Extension
30 Aug 2006: LTA will construct a Common Utility Trench (CUT) to co-ordinate the diversion of utilities prior to Downtown Extension construction
14 Dec 2006: Minimizing impact Of Downtown Extension construction on traffic

Friday, February 23

Give good display to train information

I submitted this article to Today and it appeared on 23 February 2007.

Wednesday, February 14

Shifting goal posts

If transport industry is a game of soccer, there are sure signs that the goal posts are shifting*.

Goalpost #1:

Previous goal post (1996): LTA White Paper
We only started MRT operations in 1987. We cannot grow a comprehensive network over the next few years. However we will build up the network incrementally, properly sized to match our city of the future. Over a decade or two, the results will be significant and clearly visible. Our target is to have as high as percentage of trips on a quality public transport system as in Zurich, where 75% of trips into the city centre are by public transport.

Current goal post (2006): Speech by Raymond Lim, 23 Oct
The aim is to increase the proportion of trips taken on public transport during the morning peak period from 63% today to at least 70% over the next 10 to 15 years.

Goalpost #2:


Previous goal post (2001):
Speech by Mr Yeo Cheow Tong, 23 Oct
Provided the financial position of the Government remains strong, the plan is to increase the network from 90 km today to over 150 km in 2006, and to about 240 km by 2012. In the long-term rail masterplan, the network will reach over 500 km, which is more than five times today's coverage.

Current goal post (2007): Speech by Mr Mah Bow Tan, 9 Feb
LTA will be evaluating other new lines as well as extensions to current lines in different parts of Singapore which are currently under-served by the RTS network as part of the overall master plan. In the long term, we may need to at least double our rail network. (Author's note: current RTS network stands at 138km. Doubling rail network will reach about 280km.)

Goalpost #3:

Previous goal post (1994): Basic Bus Service Standards (Public Transport Council, PTC)
a) At least 100% of bus services to operate at headway of not more than 10 minutes during weekday peak periods (excluding pubic holidays), unless otherwise stipulated by the PTC.

b) At least 100% of residential bus services to operate at headway of not more than 15 minutes during off-peak periods, unless otherwise stipulated by the PTC.


Current goal post (2006): Quality of Service Standards (PTC)

a) At least 80% of bus services to operate at headway of not more than 15 minutes during weekday peak periods (excluding pubic holidays), unless otherwise stipulated by the PTC.

b) At least 85% of bus services to operate at headway of not more than 20 minutes during off-peak periods, unless otherwise stipulated by the PTC.

Let me clarify that I am not against shifting goal posts per se (a.k.a refining
the targets) because I totally appreciate that targets need to be adjusted or refined due to change in commuters' expectations and other factors that could render them unattainable or unrealistic. However, my observation is that the goal posts were shifted without providing any rationale. And the best part of this saga? The new targets, which are of a lower standards, are hailed as the next great milestones to achieve.

* Shifting goal posts (v):
changing positions or targets. Used by Prof S Jayakumar (Minister for Foreign Affairs, Singapore) in Jan 2003 to explain to Parliament on how Malaysia repeatedly changed its positions in negotiation of water supply to Singapore. For more details on the shifting goal posts saga, click here (quote in point 11 of main text).

Tuesday, February 13

Planning for Growth, Investing in Our Future

Mr Mah Bow Tan, Minister for National Development, delivered a speech last Saturday on how to meet the challenge of meeting the land use needs for greater economic activities and a larger population. One key area that he covered, which is of particular interest to me, is how to meet the transport needs of a growing population.

I find it rare that Ministry of National Development articulated clear views on how the transport needs should be fulfilled, which by right should be coming from Ministry of Transport. But that aside, there's really nothing ground breaking in Mr Mah's speech: most of what he said were already publicly announced before.


Except for one thing: he sheds more light on Downtown Line. Prior to his speech, what was publicly announced was it will be a 40-km line combining the Downtown Extension, Bukit Timah Line and Eastern Region Line. What's new is that it will consist of 33 stations. In addition, Bukit Timah Line will also cover Choa Chu Kang (previous announcements cover Millenia Walk to Bukit Panjang), and Eastern Region Line will extend all the way to Bedok Reservoir and Tampines (previous announcement covers Jalan Besar and Macpherson only).

For full speech, please click here.

Planning for Growth, Investing in Our Future (extract)

[...]

Our Mid-Term Concept Plan Review has concluded that we have sufficient land to cater to our land needs in the future, if we use this precious resource judiciously and wisely. There would be a need for greater optimization of land-use, and trade-offs between uses will intensify. The challenge is to come up with creative solutions to accommodate land demand, while maintaining a good quality living environment. With global competition among cities, our goal is not just to provide space, but also to enhance our living environment to the extent that it becomes our competitive advantage in the attraction of talent and investment. As cities become more similar in a globalised world, Singapore can stand out as a liveable and attractive city that offers not only economic opportunities, but also social stability, and a healthy and sustainable physical environment.

Measures Required Now

This is a major challenge. But it can be done. There are many issues to consider and measures put in place now, in order to achieve this vision.

[...]

Transportation

Another important area is transportation. Singapore can be proud of our public transport system, which is reliable, convenient and affordable.

As our population grows and more visitors make their way to Singapore, greater transportation needs will have to be met. We will need to add to and extensively improve the existing road network. Existing expressways will be upgraded, and many new expressways will be added. However, as Singapore becomes more built up, land for further road widening and new roads will be limited. Some may have to pass through built-up areas, and many new roads will have to be underground or on viaduct, to optimise the use of space. These roads will be more expensive to build. But even then, there is a limit to how many new roads we can build. The trade-off will be less land for other uses, such as housing and industry. Nature areas and parks may have to go. More vehicular traffic could also compromise our living environment by generating more noise and air pollution.

We need to think of bold solutions to meet the greater transport needs without undermining the quality of our environment. One way is to improve our public transport system even more, so that we are less reliant on private transportation. A comprehensive review is being carried out by the Ministry of Transport (MOT)/Land Transport Authority (LTA) to look into the way we travel. The aim is to increase the proportion of trips taken on public transport during the morning peak period from 63% today to at least 70% over the next 10 to 15 years. This approach of heavy reliance on public transportation is not unusual. In dense cities such as New York and London, most people leave their cars at home and travel by the subway and public buses, as it is the most convenient way of moving around the city.

To achieve this, we have to invest in our public transport infrastructure and improve the service levels to provide a high quality and affordable public transport system for commuters. For a start, the Rapid Transit System (RTS) network will have to be expanded, with more rail lines added to new areas, thereby enhancing accessibility and reducing travel times. The integration between rail and bus services will also be improved for more seamless connectivity.

For instance, the Circle Line will add another 33.3 km to our rail network when it opens from 2010 onwards. It will link all existing Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) lines running into the city, greatly enhancing connectivity between suburban areas and reducing journey time for commuters considerably. Commuters travelling from Serangoon to Paya Lebar, for example, will take less than 15 minutes on the Circle Line, compared to about half an hour by bus or MRT today. The Boon Lay Extension to the East-West MRT line, when completed in 2009, will serve the needs of the people working in the Jurong Industrial Estate. LTA is currently carrying out feasibility studies for a new 33-station Downtown Line. The 40 km underground line will link up the developments in Marina Bay to estates in the Choa Chu Kang/Bukit Panjang/Bukit Timah corridor and the MacPherson/Bedok Reservoir/Tampines corridor. Beyond that, LTA will be evaluating other new lines as well as extensions to current lines in different parts of Singapore which are currently under-served by the RTS network as part of the overall master plan. In the long term, we may need to at least double our rail network.

In the area of private transport, we will continue to review and refine the various ownership and usage restraint measures to manage the growth in car usage as well as to encourage green vehicles and environmentally friendly modes of transport.

Saturday, February 10

Land Transport Authority White Paper

Transport is a basic necessity for all, so I'm sure everyone has experienced the land transport system in one way or another. Be it taking a public bus, riding a MRT, flagging down (or booking) a taxi, or driving down the expressways, we all have our fair share of comments on what works and doesn't work.

The way things are today is actually shaped by many different players and policies. If you are new to this topic of land transport, a good way to start is by reading up a white paper published by the regulator for land transport. You can download a copy of the Land Transport Authority (LTA) White Paper here.

The White Paper on Singapore's land transport system was published back in 1996. It is now 10 years old, and some may not be as applicable due to changing public expectations and new constraints faced. I will cover more of this later.

Meanwhile, enjoy reading the paper!